What is an ARR waterfall?
An ARR waterfall, or ARR bridge, shows how annual recurring revenue moved from the start of a period to its end, split into new business, expansion, contraction and churn. Each movement starts where the last one ended, so the opening figure plus every movement must equal the closing ARR exactly, with no balancing line.
How the waterfall adds up
Classify every change in a customer's ARR once, by what caused it, then add the movements to the opening figure. A returning customer is a reactivation, not new business.
Closing ARR = Opening ARR + New business + Expansion − Contraction − Churn
A worked example
In the illustrative example workspace, Gloaming Fescue Inc's ARR moved across June 2026 like this.
| Operation | Line | Figure |
|---|---|---|
| Opening ARR, 1 June | $8.12M | |
| + | New business | $0.11M |
| + | Expansion | $0.22M |
| − | Contraction | $0.02M |
| − | Churn | $0.01M |
| = | Closing ARR, 30 June | $8.42M |
Expansion was twice new business this month. Across the 12 months to June the same bridge runs from $6.42M to $8.42M, up 31%.
Common mistakes
Netting a customer's movements
A customer that adds one product and drops another has an expansion and a contraction. Netting them into one figure hides both.Closing on a balancing line
If the movements do not sum to the closing figure, something is misclassified. A line called other or adjustment is a plug, and it is where the errors hide.Letting non-recurring revenue in
Overage and one-off fees are not ARR, so they have no place in its waterfall. Show them on a revenue chart instead.
How Verlix handles it
Verlix classifies every ARR change by the contract event behind it, so each movement traces to a contract and the waterfall ties without a balancing line. The ARR and MRR waterfall is one of the standard reports, exportable to PDF.
SaaS financial reportingRelated terms
ARR
The yearly value of committed recurring revenue, measured on one day.Net revenue retention
What last year's customers are worth now, as a share of what they were worth then.