Predictive analytics
Verlix reads the contracts, invoices and payments you already run and projects them twelve months forward: revenue, expansion, contraction, churn and cash, each with its confidence range drawn.
Monthly revenue: six closed months rising from $690,000 to $987,000, then six forecast months reaching $1.34M inside a confidence band that widens by 2.2% for every month past the boundary.
Why Verlix
Accounts are flagged ninety days before renewal and ranked by what they are worth.
Accounts at churn risk by month, flagged ninety days before renewal, falling from 14 closed to a forecast 5.
Cash predictability
Every invoice, term and payment habit rolls into one balance, next to the plan you committed to.
Projected cash balance over twelve months, rising from $2.4M to a forecast $5.1M inside a widening confidence band, with the plan of record drawn as a grey dashed comparison line.
Every signal
Expansion signal
Commit use, seat growth and overage all bend before a renewal call is booked.
Accounts above 85% commit utilisation by month, rising from 18 closed to a forecast 41 within twelve months, inside a widening confidence band.
Contraction signal
Falling use, shrinking seats and slower payment resolve into one number.
Contracted value flagged for contraction by month, falling from $214,000 closed to a forecast $96,000 as the signals are worked.
Net and gross retention
Net retention projects expansion and contraction together, with gross retention beside it.
Net revenue retention by month, rising from 118% to a forecast 129%, with gross revenue retention on the same axis as a grey dashed line running from 94% to 97%.
Renewal risk
Every renewal carries a probability and the book is valued at it. The gap is named in dollars.
Probability-weighted renewal value by month, rising from $1.15M closed to a forecast $1.9M against a $2.2M book up for renewal.
Lifetime value
Lifetime value is projected per account from real billing history, then blended across cohorts.
Projected lifetime value per account, blended across cohorts, rising from $84,000 closed to a forecast $142,000 inside a widening confidence band.
Time to cash
DSO is forecast from how each customer actually pays, not from the terms they signed.
Days sales outstanding by month, the predicted time to cash on open invoices, falling from 34 days closed to a forecast 21 days.
Deferred revenue release
The release schedule comes from the contracts in force, not from a demand forecast.
Forward schedule of revenue recognition from contracts already in force, releasing $1.48M in the current month and $2.6M by month twelve.
Budget variance
Predicted performance is drawn against plan, flat at 100%. The gap is a distance on a chart.
Predicted performance against plan by month, tracking from 102% of plan to a forecast 109%, with plan drawn flat at 100% as a grey dashed baseline.
Free up to $1M ARR. Connect the ledger and the first twelve-month projection runs the same day.
